East Noble
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #14
New Haven Semi-State Rank #6
West Noble Regional Rank #4
West Noble Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 16th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.6%
Top 10 at State Finals 12.7%
Advance to State Finals 72.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 305 358 330 296 272 301 1,073 306 386 409 296 321
Team Adjusted Rating 358 330 296 272 301 301 306 386 409 296 321
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NE8 Conference West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
12  Addison Lindsey 10 18:28 18:36 18:21 18:17 18:15 18:03 18:25 18:48 19:37 19:13 18:37 18:30
146  Macey Colin 9 20:03 20:06 20:07 19:51 19:58 19:49 19:58 19:52 20:17 20:58 19:56 20:01
150  Lydia Keihn 12 20:06 20:06 20:44 20:21 20:10 20:00 20:05 20:33 20:55 21:01 19:55 20:11
225  Rae David 10 20:27 19:32 20:32 20:10 20:07 20:09 20:18 20:26 20:28 20:43 20:36 20:42
274  Chloe Gibson 9 20:39 21:13 21:28 21:10 21:08 21:19 20:19 20:35 20:18 20:30 20:39
317  Dakota Rodgers 11 20:50 19:50 21:13 21:48 21:21 21:27 21:34 20:56 20:41
334  Rachel Becker 12 20:54 20:53 20:59 21:06 20:52 20:31 20:52 21:05 21:09 20:56 20:43 21:04
506  Julianna Crow 11 21:27 21:49 22:20 21:12 21:10 21:29 21:24
1,265  Cady Smith 12 23:18 22:19 23:18 23:44 22:24 23:28 23:16 23:35
Morigan Prest 12 23:54 24:10 24:49 24:30 23:13 23:46
Lilly Crow 10 24:53 20:46 23:33 24:01 24:21 24:54 26:20 27:40
Ella Walter 9 27:13 27:58 28:06 27:28 27:06 26:34 27:12
Khloe Pankop 12 27:23 26:34 27:58 27:36 28:07 26:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 72.7% 14.0 365 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.3 3.3 4.1 5.3 6.0 7.2 7.4 8.0 8.0 6.4 5.0 3.2 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 5.5 144 0.6 2.4 6.9 13.1 21.7 28.1 21.3 6.0
Regionals 100% 3.4 84 1.5 14.7 29.2 47.8 6.8
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.4 3.3 4.4 6.0 6.2 7.6 7.6 7.0 7.2 6.4 6.4 5.4 4.4 4.0 3.9 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.6 100.0% 100.0%
Macey Colin 76.2% 109.8 12.9% 33.4%
Lydia Keihn 75.3% 113.4 9.7% 27.9%
Rae David 72.7% 139.5 0.0% 3.0%
Chloe Gibson 72.7% 153.9 0.0% 0.5%
Dakota Rodgers 72.7% 164.6 0.0% 0.1%
Rachel Becker 72.7% 168.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 2.9 0.1 4.0 50.6 24.7 10.9 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Macey Colin 100% 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.2 4.2 100.0%
Lydia Keihn 100% 32.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.5 99.9%
Rae David 100% 51.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 96.9%
Chloe Gibson 100% 63.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 88.1%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 72.2 0.0 0.0 71.0%
Rachel Becker 100% 75.7 61.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 100% 1.6 4.1 79.1 10.2 5.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Macey Colin 100% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.4 3.0 4.0 5.5 7.6 8.8 10.3 10.0 8.5 8.1 6.4 5.2 4.5 3.6 2.8 2.3 1.7 1.4 100.0%
Lydia Keihn 100% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.1 4.5 6.1 7.8 9.2 9.3 9.3 8.1 7.4 6.7 4.8 4.0 3.3 2.6 2.3 1.8 100.0%
Rae David 100% 24.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.1 2.9 3.7 4.7 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.1 5.9 6.0 6.0 100.0%
Chloe Gibson 100% 29.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.5 2.7 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.3 100.0%
Dakota Rodgers 100% 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.5 2.0 100.0%
Rachel Becker 100% 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Addison Lindsey 1.0 100.0
Macey Colin 2.4 36.9 29.6 16.9 8.3 4.7 2.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Lydia Keihn 2.7 26.9 30.9 19.3 11.2 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rae David 5.9 1.0 3.8 12.1 17.2 16.9 17.9 15.1 8.2 4.0 1.9 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Chloe Gibson 8.1 0.1 0.5 2.4 5.4 9.3 13.0 17.8 18.1 13.1 8.4 5.1 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Dakota Rodgers 9.9 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 5.1 9.0 14.8 18.1 15.4 10.9 7.3 5.2 3.8 2.4 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rachel Becker 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 6.2 9.8 14.8 17.1 13.3 10.1 7.4 5.3 4.0 2.5 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0